Sunday, November 21, 2021

My Annual Schedule of Investments

A few months ago marks the 9th anniversary of this blog. So it is time to post my largest positions:

Holding Category Business Duration
Senvest Capital ( TSX: SEC ) Canadian midcap Investment Company 6.5 yrs
Anthem ( ANTM ) US large cap Health insurance 17 yrs
European Reliance ( ATH: EUPIC ) Greek small cap Life and Health insurance 7.5 yrs
Kansas City Life ( KCLI ) US small cap Life insurance 7 yrs
Riken Keiki ( TSE: 7734 ) Japanese small cap Manufacturing 8.5 yrs
Investors Title Company ( ITIC ) US small cap Title Insurance 7 yrs
Lewis Group ( JSE: LEW ) South African midcap Fumiture Retail 6 yrs
IEH Corp ( IEHC ) US microcap Manufacturing 8.5 yrs
Tachibana Eletech ( TSE: 8159 ) Japanese small cap Manufacturing Distributor 8.5 yrs
Combined Motor Holdings ( JSE: CMH ) South African small cap Car Retail 7 yrs
MIND C.T.I.Ltd ( MNDO ) Israeli small cap Billing Software 1.5 yrs
Philip Morris Int ( PMI ) US large cap Tabacco 21 yrs
Brimag Digital Age ( TLV: BRMG ) Israeli small cap Electronics Distributor/Retail 1 yrs
Globrands ( TLV: GLRS ) Israeli small cap Tobacco 1 yrs
Pacific Healthcare ( PFHO ) US microcap Worker's Compensation Management 7 yrs
Altria ( MO ) US large cap Tobacco and alcohol 1.5 yrs
Karelia Tobacco Company Inc. ( ATH: KARE ) Greek small cap Tobacco 7 yrs
Clientele ( JSE: CLI ) South African small cap Insurance 0.5 yrs
Nu-World Holdings ( JSE: CMH ) South African small cap Electronics Distributor/Retail 1 yrs
Hamat Group ( TLV: HAMAT ) Israeli small cap Household Manufacturing 0.5 yrs

 

I also have a large short position on the S&P 500 index. 

My portfolio has changed a lot since the start of COVID. I have closed or drastically reduced my positions of Seaboard, Mcrae Industries, Installux and the Bruce Fund. I've replaced these with several companies from more developing countries. 

For several years, I believed the the US market was overpriced and I believe it now more than ever. Consequently, I believe that the equity gains of the future will come from developing countries such as China, Israel, South Africa. I invested in Alibaba (BABA), although it was not a big enough position to make the above list.  I have had positions in South Africa for 7 years now, but it has only recently paid off. 

Israel, on the other hand is a odd country. It is considered a developed country because its per capita GDP is US$42,000. But I still regard it as a developing country. The country has long been hobbled by hostility in a volatile region, but that is recently changing. Its population is growing by 2% annually. And many stocks in Israel appear to trade at multiples more typical of developing or stagnating countries. For example Globrands, the second largest tobacco distributor in Israel has a 13.5% dividend! And Brimag, another Israeli stock that I own, has a PE of 7.5 and a 9.7% dividend yield!

Looking at this portfolio, it is not surprising to know that I lagged the US market over the lifetime of this blog. Yes, I would have matched the S&P 500 if I didn't have the short. But the fact that my short was a hedge allowed me to go as long as I did.  So my longs and short positions must be considered together in their entirely when evaluating my investment acumen.

Nine years ago I set out to apply Ben Graham's value principles with the goal of beating the "market". Over the last nine years, the S&P500 index returned 17.3% annually, with dividends reinvested. So, comparing to the US market, it appears I failed at my goal.

Basically, I suck.

After realizing this, I will no longer strive to beat the market. Instead, just getting a reasonable real return for my passive investment role is enough. By this I mean something like 5% return after inflation, taxes and fees.

So moving forward, this blog will reflect a very passive, conservative and long term view of things.  It will be boring, but I will still write for a number of reasons. First and foremost, I write to improve my writing which helps me tremendously in my job and many other aspects of life. Secondly, I write to give back information and ideas from my long investment journey to the internet community. I have benefitted so much from information on all sorts of topics from other people on social media, internet forums, blogs and the like. They are almost always free, and I generally do not donate to charity. So, writing this blog is one way to give back some knowledge to the free internet community. And lastly, I write to help me think through my ideas.

Click here for last year's positions.